On October 26, 2024, Georgia will hold parliamentary elections, which could prove a turning point for the country. The ruling party, “Georgian Dream,” in power for over 12 years, faces a mounting challenge from the united pro-European opposition. These elections come amid crucial issues for Georgia, including EU integration, territorial integrity, and Russia’s role in the region.

According to polls, “Georgian Dream” leads with around 33% support, but pro-European opposition parties could collectively secure about 55%, making the election outcome unpredictable. Key opposition blocs, such as “Unity” (19%), “Coalition for Change” (13%), and “Strong Georgia” (12%), are joining forces to form a coalition capable of challenging the ruling party’s dominance.

The ruling party’s campaign focuses on preserving stability and avoiding Georgia’s involvement in international conflicts, particularly in light of events in Ukraine. The opposition, meanwhile, promotes accelerated EU integration, criticizing the government for insufficient efforts towards European integration and accusing it of excessive reliance on Russia.

If opposition forces gain a majority, this could lead to significant shifts in Georgia’s foreign and domestic policy, including renewed efforts to join the EU. At the same time, the ruling party warns of potential destabilization if the opposition takes power.

The election results will indicate which path Georgia will choose: a continuation of the current course or a shift toward more active European integration. The results may also affect political stability, given the high polarization within society and the possibility of protests.

The elections are taking place against a backdrop of historically complex relations with Russia and unresolved conflicts in Abkhazia and South Ossetia, which remain key issues on the political agenda.