EU-US trade deal analysis: key losers and select winners

EU-US trade deal analysis: key losers and select winners

15 hours ago

Energy Agreement Between EU and US

The recent agreement between former President Donald Trump and European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen stipulates that the EU will purchase $750 billion worth of oil and liquefied natural gas from the U.S. over a span of several years. This deal is projected to include additional energy products such as nuclear fuel and aims to significantly reduce the EU’s reliance on Russian imports, reports 24brussels.

However, experts raise concerns about the feasibility of the agreement. To meet the $750 billion target, the EU would need to triple its energy imports from the U.S., a significant increase compared to last year’s figures. This would necessitate that American energy firms redirect all their global energy flows toward the EU. In contrast, Russian energy sales to the EU amounted to approximately €23 billion last year. This situation presents a challenge, as the private sector controls energy imports, limiting the EU’s ability to implement the agreement effectively.

Impact on the Energy Sector

The deal is seen as beneficial for U.S. oil and gas companies; however, its successful execution remains in debate due to differing logistical and regulatory conditions. Experts warn that increased imports from the U.S. will require extensive adjustments in the EU’s energy infrastructure, which has been historically aligned with Russian suppliers.

Automotive Trade Agreement

In a separate development, U.S. tariffs on cars and auto parts are being reduced to a baseline rate of 15 percent, aligning with agreements previously established with Japanese automakers. The EU will respond by lowering its car tariffs from 10 percent to zero, according to trade spokesperson Olof Gill. The intricacies of the deal are still unclear, with both parties expected to align automotive standards in the future.

Despite the positive tones surrounding the agreement, industry stakeholders have expressed dissatisfaction. The German automotive lobby has criticized the deal, suggesting it places undue burdens on the sector and its workers. Ferdinand Dudenhöffer, the director of Germany’s Center for Automotive Research, indicated that approximately 70,000 jobs across European automotive companies and their suppliers could be at risk as manufacturers may shift production to the U.S. to avoid the imposed tariffs.

This apprehension highlights the complex nature of global trade agreements, where benefits to one sector may simultaneously pose threats to another, particularly in terms of job security within the industry.

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